A seat to lose
When we moved from Horfield to Hartcliffe, seven years ago, I said to my wife, "this is not a seat to win, it's a seat to lose."
The Bristol South seat was created in the 1960's, and has been a Labour seat all the time.
However, that is about to change, either way the sitting MP, Karyn Smyth , will be deposed.
For the last four elections Labour have lost 10% of the vote, the last time this happened, Dawn Primarolo was replaced by Karyn Smyth, and the seat remained a Labour stronghold. Now the tide has turned.
At the last election, Labour again lost 10% of the vote, but the vote switched to the Green Party followed by ReformUK.
At the next election, I see Mrs Smyth being known as the MP who lost Labour's safest seat; I have said for years, Labour do not win seats, they hold onto what they won in the 1930 election. With each election they lose more voters, and Starmer, and his crew have killed the party this time, even Liverpool, a strong Labour seat has signs out saying "Starmer not welcome in Liverpool."
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